Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.220160 2.560337 2.941576 3.401672 3.943453 4.563023 5.327907
2025-03-09 1.715723 2.164877 2.721337 3.466697 4.446904 5.702920 7.451792
2025-03-16 1.415918 1.894404 2.527582 3.437029 4.726591 6.514963 9.227305
2025-03-23 1.216941 1.705830 2.387803 3.424408 4.988168 7.304590 11.081900
2025-03-30 1.055357 1.537801 2.241146 3.362701 5.146663 7.944526 12.806828
2025-04-06 0.956576 1.443713 2.183023 3.415047 5.473582 8.879868 15.169188
2025-04-13 0.848501 1.319510 2.059355 3.340069 5.573660 9.448015 16.997788
2025-04-20 0.801916 1.285113 2.070879 3.484701 6.061156 10.753592 20.428199
2025-04-27 0.735013 1.208723 2.002461 3.479452 6.276671 11.595703 23.129617
2025-05-04 0.697121 1.176270 2.003487 3.595728 6.731231 12.962275 27.196758
2025-05-11 0.648491 1.119381 1.954193 3.610349 6.988273 13.974970 30.716678
2025-05-18 0.606007 1.068716 1.909869 3.627293 7.250036 15.038049 34.589536
2025-05-25 0.552129 0.997431 1.830157 3.586748 7.437251 16.091107 39.025643
2025-06-01 0.514826 0.954376 1.801760 3.653625 7.887048 17.879418 46.011321
2025-06-08 0.472039 0.895124 1.732942 3.622265 8.106516 19.169334 52.081571
2025-06-15 0.436287 0.845425 1.676712 3.608878 8.365017 20.617575 59.115989
2025-06-22 0.400128 0.790668 1.602865 3.543458 8.482858 21.727545 65.525353
2025-06-29 0.377956 0.762455 1.582092 3.598954 8.920309 23.821620 75.932742
2025-07-06 0.347720 0.713701 1.510210 3.519467 8.985087 24.869321 83.172777
2025-07-13 0.337054 0.706350 1.530425 3.672808 9.721834 28.123322 99.859010
2025-07-20 0.316594 0.674934 1.491249 3.667242 10.005617 30.044287 112.277623
2025-07-27 0.305859 0.664445 1.500152 3.790550 10.698299 33.503951 132.721235
2025-08-03 0.289649 0.639530 1.471166 3.806057 11.065440 35.964663 150.077595